what do you know? Montreal has
qualified for the playoffs for the first time in 5 years. It was no fluke that
they got there either. Led by Hart Trophy candidate Jose Theodore, along with a
great mix of veterans and younger players, the Habs overcame adversity and
earned themselves a playoff spot. Forget the history that the Habs have enjoyed
over the years. This was just an unbelievable year for Montreal. Rewind to
October, where hockey fans the world over were pushing for Saku Koivu, then
diagnosed with abdominal cancer. Fast forward back to now, and Koivu has
returned, and the emotional lift that he brings the team should add fuel to
Montreal’s already full tank. The Habs added a great mix of veterans this year,
with Doug Gilmour, Donald Audette, Shaun Van Allen, Sergei Berezin and Yanic
Perreault. Here are some more names for you. Andreas Dackell, Oleg Petrov, Craig
Rivet, Joe Juneau, Richard Zednik. Anybody who thinks that Boston will have an
easy go in this series slept through the last two weeks of the season. Boston
has a balanced attack as well, but only if you allow Joe Thornton, Bill Guerin,
Josef Stumpel or Glen Murray to get alone behind the net or in the slot. And is
Byron Dafoe really a playoff calibre goalie? Some say he doesn’t get nearly as
much respect as he deserves. Well now is time to prove it. It’s not going to
happen. With the magical year we witnessed for the Habs, you have to think that
the Ghosts of the Montreal Forum have finally forgiven them for moving to the
Molson Centre. Either that or they’re tired of watching Movies (the Montreal
Forum was transformed into a Movie Theatre/shopping complex). Montreal has only
lost to Boston 7 times, ever. Look it up if you want to, but I’ve taken the
liberty of doing so.
Prediction: Canadiens in 6
2nd vs 7th – PHILADELPHIA vs OTTAWA
What
happens when you put two teams together that have not
enjoyed a lot of postseason success? We are about to find out the answer, and
the trash talk has already started. Jeremy Roenick was quoted as saying that the
Senators better be prepared to be run out of the rink. Well they’d better be
prepared to make good on that threat. Even though Philly has not made it past
the first round in 3 out of the past 5 seasons, they still seem to find a way to
get better and better. They finally ended the Eric Lindros soap opera by sending
him to the New York Rangers. In return they got Kim Johnsson, Jan Hlavac and
Pavel Brendl. Hlavac was later sent to Vancouver for Donald Brashear, to add a
little bit more grit. Johnsson has been a pleasant surprise, having finished top
10 on the team in scoring with 41 points. But what is even more impressive about
this Flyers team are the veterans. Players like Roenick, Mark Recchi, John
LeClair, Simon Gagne, Keith Primeau, Eric Weinrich, Luke Richardson, Eric
Desjardins are players any coach would love to have. Their goaltending is solid
with Roman Cechmanek. Even their backup Brian Boucher can steal some games for
the Flyers if needed. Remember back two years ago when the Flyers took the
Devils to 7 games in the semi-finals? Boucher was the guy. Consider this also:
Adam Oates, acquired at the trading deadline, has more playoff points than the
entire Senators roster.
On the flipside, Ottawa is coming off a rather disappointing
regular season, faltering a lot down the stretch and at times looking very flat
against their opposition. Oddly enough, they posted a winning record against
Philly this year, going 2-1-1-0. The loss was at home and was probably the worst
game I’ve seen them play since last spring’s playoff sweep to the Leafs. There’s
no question that the Flyers will be crashing and banging, re-establishing
themselves as the Broad Street Bullies. The Senators will have to do some
crashing and banging of their own to be successful. Can they do it and stay
healthy? They did add depth on defense with Zdeno Chara, but more importantly
will be how the forwards will do in this series. In order for the Sens to pull
off an upset here, Marian Hossa, Martin Havlat, Radek Bonk, Shawn McEachern,
Chara, Mike Fisher, and captain Daniel Alfredsson will have to be at their best.
Perhaps a few surprises, like Bill Muckalt performing a miracle and scoring his
first goal since he was traded here from the Islanders will have to happen as
well. Oh yeah, and Patrick Lalime or Jani Hurme will have to stand on their
heads. Otherwise, a 5th straight 1st round exit will be
inevitable for the Senators.
In the scheme of things, Ottawa keeps saying that they need
to get rid of the playoff hex, and the fans will accept nothing less than a trip
to the second round, but until they actually do it, that dark cloud will
continue to rain on their parade. Don’t look for the Senators to perform any
miracles this year either. They have the scoring talent, but are not strong
enough physically. Philadelphia is just too strong a team and they say that they
have learned from their mistakes of years past. Then again, Ottawa is saying the
same thing. Chalk this one up to experience, the Flyers have it, the Sens don’t.
Jacques Martin will be the next coach to be fired in the NHL, you can bet on it.
Prediction: Flyers in 5
3rd vs 6th – CAROLINA vs NEW JERSEY
This
is what happens when you allow the leader of a weak and
pathetic Southeast division to score the 3rd seed in the conference
by default. As much as the NHL will be looking at ways to improve the current
playoff format, you can bet that New Jersey will be looking for ways to perform
the upset. Technically, it would be an upset, but if you look at the overall
records, New Jersey should have the home ice advantage here, not Carolina. It
shouldn’t be too hard for New Jersey to pull it off.
Beyond
goaltender Arturs Irbe, the Hurricanes have veterans
Ron Francis and Rod Brind’Amour. Players like Jeff O’Neill, Martin Gelinas and
Josef Vasicek can score, but beyond these 5 players and 2 stellar defensemen in
Glen Wesley (who is injured) and Aaron Ward, there is not much to speak of here.
If the Devils can contain these 7 players, they will win the series, it’s as
simple as that.
The Devils got Joe Nieuwendyk and Jamie Langenbrunner at the
trading deadline to replace Alexander Mogilny. Gone are Jason Arnott and Randy
McKay. The rest of the team is essentially the same team that made it all the
way to the Stanley Cup Finals last year. Goalie Martin Brodeur, hot off of his
gold medal performance in Salt Lake, will be looking to do it all again this
playoff season. Then you have Scott Stevens, one of the toughest customers you
will meet on the ice.
Carolina had better keep their head up, otherwise, this one
will be over in a hurry. Interest in the Hurricanes is increasing in Raleigh,
which should result in a good crowd for the home games. But let’s be realistic
here. They are no match for New Jersey with their relentless tight checking
game. If the Hurricanes do manage to make believers out of us, it will make for
their most interesting season since moving from Hartford.
Prediction: Devils in 6
4th vs 5th – TORONTO vs NY ISLANDERS
Is
that a sigh of relief I hear coming out of both Ottawa
and Toronto? After it appeared that the two provincial rivals would meet again
for a third straight season, out of nowhere came the NY Islanders to secure what
should be an interesting matchup.
If
you look at the regular season, this should be no problem
for the Islanders. But not so fast, Mike Milbury, the Maple Leafs have home ice
advantage. The Air Canada Center will be buzzing once again this year, and
unless the Islanders can split the first 2 games of this series it will be over
faster than last year’s Senators sweep.
It has been said that this Leafs team is built for the
playoffs. Unfortunately, they have not been able to execute. Could this be the
year that Mats Sundin leads this team into the promised land? If it’s going to
happen, they will need a solid effort all around, from Curtis Joseph in goal,
all the way out to their defense and forwards. They will need Tie Domi to be
gritty as usual, but not let himself get carried away like he did last year.
Sundin will have to continue to lead the charge and score. Alexander Mogilny
will have to stay healthy. Mogilny is the only big difference in this team from
last year’s team. Gary Roberts will be another player back from injury. Darcy
Tucker, Gary Valk, Alyn McCauley, Mikael Renberg, and others will need to be at
their best as they were during the regular season. But most importantly,
goaltending will have to be stellar. They did acquire Tom Barrasso as a backup
to Curtis Joseph, but he has suffered a similar fate as Cujo and broken his
hand. Not that they’ll need him. If the Leafs should lose Cujo to injury again,
they should be able to get by with Corey Schwab between the pipes.
The
Islanders are here for the first time in 7 years, and
you know they want to make the most of it. They will need their key acquisitions
to pay dividends in order to be successful. Alexei Yashin will have to get that
Senators playoff monkey off his back, and Michael Peca will need to show us more
of those moves that made him successful in the Olympics. Roman Hamrlik, Kenny
Jonsson and Adrian Aucoin will have to get in Toronto’s face and stay there. The
big difference between Toronto and New York is in goaltending. Cujo is a proven
goaltender, but he’s never won the Stanley Cup. Chris Osgood has. If it comes
right down to it, that could be the difference. However, the Maple Leafs have
something that a lot of teams don’t have, pride, and a coach with an Olympic
gold medal. Regardless of how they do in the regular season, Toronto has always
been able to show life long after everybody wrote them off as pretenders. Time
will tell if the Leafs can advance to the Finals for the first time since 1967,
but one thing’s for sure, they will do everything possible to get there, and
their fans will be there behind them 125%. A little luck along the way probably
won’t hurt either.
Prediction: Maple Leafs in 5
It’s
probably a bit premature, but based on all the
predictions I’ve made, I really like Detroit and Philadelphia in the Stanley Cup
Finals. Of course, a lot could change between now and June, and I could find
myself eating crow before long. Even if the upsets I’ve predicted don’t happen,
there is sure to be at least one. The intensity is imminent, so bring it
on!!!!!!!
Take
care everybody, and enjoy the games!